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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 19.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 1-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Portland Timbers |
59.1% ( 1.03) | 21.24% ( -0.29) | 19.66% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 57.01% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.56% ( 0.29) | 40.43% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.19% ( 0.3) | 62.81% ( -0.29) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.63% ( 0.41) | 13.37% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.73% ( 0.81) | 40.27% ( -0.81) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.8% ( -0.57) | 34.19% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.11% ( -0.61) | 70.89% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.16)1-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.39% Total : 59.1% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.24% | 1-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.08% Total : 19.66% |
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