SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 48.93%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.06%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
48.93% ( 0.24) | 22.41% ( -0.03) | 28.66% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 63.88% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.73% ( -0.01) | 36.27% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.61% ( -0.01) | 58.39% ( 0.01) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.8% ( 0.08) | 15.2% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.17% ( 0.15) | 43.83% ( -0.15) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.34% ( -0.14) | 24.66% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.81% ( -0.2) | 59.19% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 4.09% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.09% Total : 48.93% | 1-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.41% | 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 28.66% |
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