SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 54.01%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 23.97% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Minnesota United |
54.01% ( -7.03) | 22.02% ( 1.77) | 23.97% ( 5.26) |
| Both teams to score 60.63% ( 1.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.45% ( -1.26) | 38.55% ( 1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.16% ( -1.34) | 60.84% ( 1.34) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.68% ( -2.48) | 14.32% ( 2.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.86% ( -5.06) | 42.14% ( 5.07) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( 4.08) | 29.24% ( -4.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.81% ( 4.75) | 65.2% ( -4.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.28)2-0 @ 7.91% ( -1.07)3-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.72)3-0 @ 5.12% ( -1.27)3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.69)4-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.92)4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.18)5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.41)5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.49)Other @ 3.35% Total : 54.01% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 0.75) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.56)0-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.02% | 1-2 @ 6.15% ( 1.07) 0-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.82)0-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.79)1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.66)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.46)0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.43)Other @ 3.24% Total : 23.97% |
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