Sporting have conceded the second-most goals in the MLS Western Conference this year (58), and against some of the deadliest attackers in MLS, we believe it will be difficult for them to upset a team like the Black and Gold, who are keen to prove they can deliver in big games.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 69.38%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 13.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 3-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (3.86%).
