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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 42
Oct 28, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
IM

Atlanta
2 - 1
Inter Miami

Araujo (59'), Martinez (74')
Walkes (21'), Guzan (90+5'), Torres (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Higuain (32' pen.)
Figal (24'), Gonzalez Pirez (37'), Chapman (55'), Leerdam (57'), Higuain (67')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 62.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 15.38%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawInter Miami
62.29%22.32%15.38%
Both teams to score 45.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.02%51.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.28%73.72%
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.82%16.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.35%45.65%
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.85%46.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.17%81.83%
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 62.28%
    Inter Miami 15.38%
    Draw 22.32%
Atlanta UnitedDrawInter Miami
1-0 @ 13.59%
2-0 @ 12.38%
2-1 @ 9.58%
3-0 @ 7.52%
3-1 @ 5.82%
4-0 @ 3.42%
4-1 @ 2.65%
3-2 @ 2.25%
5-0 @ 1.25%
4-2 @ 1.02%
5-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 62.28%
1-1 @ 10.51%
0-0 @ 7.47%
2-2 @ 3.7%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 22.32%
0-1 @ 5.78%
1-2 @ 4.07%
0-2 @ 2.23%
1-3 @ 1.05%
2-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 15.38%

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