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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 40
Oct 21, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
NY

Atlanta
1 - 1
NY City

Moreno (17')
Franco (60'), Robinson (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Thorarinsson (90')
Moralez (24'), Sands (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawNew York City FC
44.13%25.78%30.09%
Both teams to score 53.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.28%50.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.38%72.62%
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.1%22.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.34%56.65%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99%31.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.68%67.31%
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 44.12%
    New York City FC 30.09%
    Draw 25.77%
Atlanta UnitedDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 10.46%
2-1 @ 9.03%
2-0 @ 7.71%
3-1 @ 4.44%
3-0 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 2.6%
4-1 @ 1.64%
4-0 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 44.12%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 7.1%
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 8.32%
1-2 @ 7.18%
0-2 @ 4.87%
1-3 @ 2.8%
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 30.09%

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