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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 37
Oct 3, 2021 at 12am UK
Saputo Stadium
AU

Montreal
2 - 1
Atlanta

Quioto (50', 55' pen.)
Sunusi (78'), Camacho (87'), Choiniere (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mulraney (48')
Walkes (53')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 45.27%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawAtlanta United
45.27%24.88%29.85%
Both teams to score 55.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.98%47.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.74%69.26%
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.18%20.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.51%53.49%
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.7%29.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.74%65.26%
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 45.27%
    Atlanta United 29.85%
    Draw 24.88%
CF MontrealDrawAtlanta United
1-0 @ 9.57%
2-1 @ 9.22%
2-0 @ 7.51%
3-1 @ 4.82%
3-0 @ 3.93%
3-2 @ 2.96%
4-1 @ 1.89%
4-0 @ 1.54%
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 45.27%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 6.1%
2-2 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 7.49%
1-2 @ 7.21%
0-2 @ 4.6%
1-3 @ 2.95%
2-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 1.88%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 29.85%

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