Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 45.27%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
