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Thursday, March 28
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AF
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 21
Aug 1, 2021 at 2am UK
Austin FC Stadium
CR

Austin
0 - 1
Colorado


Fagundez (25'), Stanley (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 37.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.94%) and 0-2 (5.47%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawColorado Rapids
37.46%23.74%38.8%
Both teams to score 62.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.39%39.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.05%61.96%
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7%21.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.75%54.25%
Colorado Rapids Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.35%20.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.78%53.23%
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 37.46%
    Colorado Rapids 38.8%
    Draw 23.74%
Austin FCDrawColorado Rapids
2-1 @ 8.3%
1-0 @ 6.8%
2-0 @ 5.26%
3-1 @ 4.28%
3-2 @ 3.37%
3-0 @ 2.71%
4-1 @ 1.65%
4-2 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 37.46%
1-1 @ 10.73%
2-2 @ 6.54%
0-0 @ 4.4%
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.74%
1-2 @ 8.46%
0-1 @ 6.94%
0-2 @ 5.47%
1-3 @ 4.45%
2-3 @ 3.44%
0-3 @ 2.88%
1-4 @ 1.76%
2-4 @ 1.36%
0-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 38.8%

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