Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 51.58%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 25.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 2-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
