Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 50.72%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 25.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
