SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 56.1%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 23.32% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.08%) and 1-3 (6.78%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 2-1 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 23.32% | 20.58% | 56.1% |
| Both teams to score 65.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.68% | 32.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.05% | 53.95% |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.69% | 26.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.56% | 61.45% |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.38% | 11.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.35% | 36.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 2-1 @ 5.87% 1-0 @ 4.09% 3-2 @ 2.81% 2-0 @ 2.73% 3-1 @ 2.61% 3-0 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.07% Total : 23.32% | 1-1 @ 8.79% 2-2 @ 6.31% 0-0 @ 3.06% 3-3 @ 2.02% Other @ 0.41% Total : 20.59% | 1-2 @ 9.46% 0-2 @ 7.08% 1-3 @ 6.78% 0-1 @ 6.58% 0-3 @ 5.08% 2-3 @ 4.53% 1-4 @ 3.65% 0-4 @ 2.73% 2-4 @ 2.44% 1-5 @ 1.57% 0-5 @ 1.18% 3-4 @ 1.08% 2-5 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.88% Total : 56.1% |
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