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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 15
Jul 2, 2021 at 2.30am UK
Austin FC Stadium
PT

Austin
4 - 1
Portland

Gallagher (28'), Fagundez (33'), Ring (77'), Jimenez (81')
Kolmanic (44'), Pochettino (45+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ebobisse (45+7')
Tuiloma (45+5'), Asprilla (68'), Zuparic (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 56.1%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 23.32% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.08%) and 1-3 (6.78%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 2-1 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Austin FCDrawPortland Timbers
23.32%20.58%56.1%
Both teams to score 65.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.68%32.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.05%53.95%
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.69%26.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.56%61.45%
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.38%11.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.35%36.65%
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 23.32%
    Portland Timbers 56.1%
    Draw 20.59%
Austin FCDrawPortland Timbers
2-1 @ 5.87%
1-0 @ 4.09%
3-2 @ 2.81%
2-0 @ 2.73%
3-1 @ 2.61%
3-0 @ 1.21%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 23.32%
1-1 @ 8.79%
2-2 @ 6.31%
0-0 @ 3.06%
3-3 @ 2.02%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 20.59%
1-2 @ 9.46%
0-2 @ 7.08%
1-3 @ 6.78%
0-1 @ 6.58%
0-3 @ 5.08%
2-3 @ 4.53%
1-4 @ 3.65%
0-4 @ 2.73%
2-4 @ 2.44%
1-5 @ 1.57%
0-5 @ 1.18%
3-4 @ 1.08%
2-5 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 56.1%

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