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Thursday, March 28
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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 11
Jun 20, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Columbus Crew Stadium
CF

Columbus Crew
2 - 0
Chicago Fire

Zardes (17', 34')
Etienne (21'), Williams (25')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Herbers (44'), Medran (65')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawChicago Fire
43.54%26.1%30.36%
Both teams to score 52.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.07%51.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.32%73.68%
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.29%23.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.16%57.84%
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.56%31.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.18%67.82%
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 43.53%
    Chicago Fire 30.36%
    Draw 26.1%
Columbus CrewDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 10.72%
2-1 @ 8.93%
2-0 @ 7.72%
3-1 @ 4.29%
3-0 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.54%
4-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 43.53%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 7.45%
2-2 @ 5.17%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.63%
1-2 @ 7.18%
0-2 @ 4.99%
1-3 @ 2.77%
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 30.36%

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