Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 65.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 15.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 1-2 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.