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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Charlotte FC | Draw | Atlanta United |
41.94% ( 0.53) | 24.46% ( 0.01) | 33.6% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 59.11% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.34% ( -0.2) | 43.66% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.95% ( -0.19) | 66.05% ( 0.19) |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.08% ( 0.16) | 20.92% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.35% ( 0.25) | 53.65% ( -0.25) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.74% ( -0.41) | 25.25% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.99% ( -0.57) | 60.01% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlotte FC | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.19% 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 41.94% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.6% Total : 33.6% |
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