SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 58.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 19.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | Toronto |
58.52% ( 0.56) | 21.49% ( -0.32) | 19.99% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 56.69% ( 0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.89% ( 1.11) | 41.12% ( -1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.49% ( 1.13) | 63.51% ( -1.12) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.24% ( 0.54) | 13.77% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.94% ( 1.06) | 41.06% ( -1.05) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.74% ( 0.41) | 34.26% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.04% ( 0.43) | 70.96% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | Toronto |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% 1-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.29)2-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.22% Total : 58.52% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.24)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.48% | 1-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.08% Total : 19.99% |
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