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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 1
Apr 18, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Soldier Field
NE

Chicago Fire
2 - 2
New England

Beric (5'), Stojanovic (11')
Kappelhof (79')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Buksa (14'), Bou (27')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Chicago FireDrawNew England Revolution
46.32%24.63%29.05%
Both teams to score 56.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.66%46.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.38%68.62%
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.91%20.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.67%52.33%
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.49%29.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.48%65.52%
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 46.32%
    New England Revolution 29.05%
    Draw 24.63%
Chicago FireDrawNew England Revolution
1-0 @ 9.51%
2-1 @ 9.32%
2-0 @ 7.64%
3-1 @ 4.99%
3-0 @ 4.09%
3-2 @ 3.04%
4-1 @ 2%
4-0 @ 1.64%
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 46.32%
1-1 @ 11.61%
0-0 @ 5.93%
2-2 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.63%
0-1 @ 7.23%
1-2 @ 7.09%
0-2 @ 4.41%
1-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.31%
0-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 29.05%

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