Although Columbus Crew have not been in the best form recently, they have a fantastic record in front of goal, and we expect them to record a comfortable victory against Colorado Rapids on Wednesday.
Colorado have been on a four-game losing run, and their only two wins this season have been against struggling sides, the most recent of which coming at the beginning of May.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 67.42%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 13.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 0-1 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.