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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 52.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | Columbus Crew |
52.87% ( 0.18) | 23.93% ( -0.02) | 23.19% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 53.21% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.07% ( -0.07) | 47.93% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.89% ( -0.07) | 70.11% ( 0.07) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.92% ( 0.04) | 18.08% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51% ( 0.07) | 49% ( -0.07) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.95% ( -0.19) | 35.05% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.21% ( -0.2) | 71.79% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 1-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 3.45% Total : 52.86% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.93% | 0-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.03% Total : 23.19% |
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