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Major League Soccer
May 18, 2023 at 12.30am UK
MAPFRE Stadium
LG

Columbus Crew
2 - 0
LA Galaxy

Zelarayan (25'), Amundsen (43')
Ramirez (46')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Puig (82'), Hernandez (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-2 Orlando City
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-1 Earthquakes
Monday, May 15 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Columbus Crew 3-1 Los Angeles Galaxy

Columbus Crew have not been at their best recently, but LA Galaxy have made a very slow start to the MLS season, particularly away from home, scoring just once on their travels. As such, we expect the hosts to emerge with a fairly comfortable victory in what could be a high-scoring game, given their fantastic record in front of goal.

How to watch

You can watch Columbus Crew vs. Los Angeles Galaxy and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 20.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 1-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Los Angeles Galaxy win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
57.91% (-0.788 -0.79) 21.42% (0.211 0.21) 20.67% (0.579 0.58)
Both teams to score 58.08% (0.207 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.19% (-0.166 -0.17)39.81% (0.169 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.83% (-0.174 -0.17)62.17% (0.176 0.18)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.48% (-0.28700000000001 -0.29)13.52% (0.29 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.42% (-0.584 -0.58)40.58% (0.587 0.59)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.16% (0.46299999999999 0.46)32.84% (-0.459 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.59% (0.513 0.51)69.41% (-0.51100000000001 -0.51)
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 57.91%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 20.67%
    Draw 21.42%
Columbus CrewDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.89% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-0 @ 8.89% (-0.026000000000002 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.6% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.93% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.3% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.84% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.32% (-0.045 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.19% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 57.91%
1-1 @ 9.9% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.062 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.44% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.42%
1-2 @ 5.51% (0.121 0.12)
0-1 @ 4.95% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.75% (0.089 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.05% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.02% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 20.67%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-2 Orlando City
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, April 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-0 Columbus Crew
Sunday, April 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 New England
Sunday, April 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 0-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 4-0 Salt Lake
Sunday, April 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-1 Earthquakes
Monday, May 15 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-3 Colorado
Sunday, May 7 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 2-0 LA Galaxy
Sunday, April 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-0 Austin
Sunday, April 23 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-3 Los Angeles
Sunday, April 16 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 3-0 LA Galaxy
Sunday, April 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer


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