SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 60.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 18.58%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
60.51% ( -1.16) | 20.91% ( 0.52) | 18.58% ( 0.64) |
| Both teams to score 56.2% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.42% ( -1.34) | 40.58% ( 1.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.04% ( -1.39) | 62.96% ( 1.38) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87% ( -0.75) | 13% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.48% ( -1.55) | 39.52% ( 1.54) |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.59% ( -0.1) | 35.4% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.83% ( -0.1) | 72.16% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.47% Total : 60.51% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.28)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.91% | 1-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.72% Total : 18.58% |
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