FC Dallas and Minnesota United have had contrasting starts to the new MLS campaign, with the hosts sitting just one point off the top of the standings. We predict Dallas will maintain their superb home form and see off the out-of-sorts visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 19.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Dallas	Draw	Minnesota United
57.38% ( -0.42)	23.33% ( 0.11)	19.29% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 49.58% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50% (

-0)

50% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.02% (

-0)

71.98% (

0.01)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.82% (

-0.15)

17.19% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.55% (

-0.27)

47.45% (

0.27)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.87% (

0.35)

40.13% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.23% (

0.32)

76.77% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Dallas 57.37%

Minnesota United 19.29%

Draw 23.32%

Dallas	Draw	Minnesota United
1-0 @ 12.14% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.74% Total : 57.37%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.88% Total : 23.32%	0-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.16% Total : 19.29%