Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.11%. A win for DC United had a probability of 23.1% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
