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DU
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 1
Apr 18, 2021 at 1am UK
Audi Field
NY

DC United
2 - 1
NY City

Hines-Ike (39'), Canouse (44')
Brillant (9'), Gressel (77')
FT(HT: 2-1)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.11%. A win for DC United had a probability of 23.1% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
DC UnitedDrawNew York City FC
23.1%21.79%55.11%
Both teams to score 60.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.58%38.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.3%60.7%
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.12%29.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.03%65.97%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.08%13.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.63%41.37%
Score Analysis
    DC United 23.1%
    New York City FC 55.11%
    Draw 21.79%
DC UnitedDrawNew York City FC
2-1 @ 5.99%
1-0 @ 5.03%
2-0 @ 3.04%
3-1 @ 2.41%
3-2 @ 2.38%
3-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 23.1%
1-1 @ 9.91%
2-2 @ 5.9%
0-0 @ 4.16%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.79%
1-2 @ 9.77%
0-1 @ 8.2%
0-2 @ 8.09%
1-3 @ 6.42%
0-3 @ 5.31%
2-3 @ 3.88%
1-4 @ 3.17%
0-4 @ 2.62%
2-4 @ 1.91%
1-5 @ 1.25%
0-5 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 55.11%

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