SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 59.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 17.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.91%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 17.01% | 23.4% | 59.59% |
| Both teams to score 45.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.5% | 53.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.98% | 75.02% |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.1% | 44.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.15% | 80.85% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.34% | 17.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.72% | 48.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 1-0 @ 6.35% 2-1 @ 4.41% 2-0 @ 2.54% 3-1 @ 1.18% 3-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.51% Total : 17.01% | 1-1 @ 11% 0-0 @ 7.93% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.64% Total : 23.39% | 0-1 @ 13.74% 0-2 @ 11.91% 1-2 @ 9.54% 0-3 @ 6.89% 1-3 @ 5.52% 0-4 @ 2.99% 1-4 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 2.21% 0-5 @ 1.04% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.4% Total : 59.57% |
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