Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 59.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 17.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.91%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.