Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 62.05%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 16.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
