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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 23
Aug 8, 2021 at 1am UK
National Sports Center
HD

Minnesota Utd
2 - 0
Houston

Lod (14'), Kallman (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rodriguez (21'), Junqua (21'), Jones (62')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 62.05%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 16.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawHouston Dynamo
62.05%21.53%16.42%
Both teams to score 49.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.01%46.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.76%69.24%
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.41%14.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.33%42.67%
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.24%41.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.77%78.23%
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 62.03%
    Houston Dynamo 16.42%
    Draw 21.53%
Minnesota UnitedDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 11.72%
2-0 @ 11.28%
2-1 @ 9.86%
3-0 @ 7.24%
3-1 @ 6.32%
4-0 @ 3.49%
4-1 @ 3.04%
3-2 @ 2.76%
5-0 @ 1.34%
4-2 @ 1.33%
5-1 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 62.03%
1-1 @ 10.24%
0-0 @ 6.09%
2-2 @ 4.3%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 21.53%
0-1 @ 5.32%
1-2 @ 4.47%
0-2 @ 2.32%
1-3 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 16.42%

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