Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
