Minnesota United have struggled to get going in recent weeks, managing just one win since the start of May. Inter Miami, meanwhile, head into the game as one of the most in-form sides at home in the east and we predict they will make use of their home advantage once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Inter Miami in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Inter Miami.

Result
Inter Miami	Draw	Minnesota United
38.65% ( 0.27)	26.42% ( 0.11)	34.93% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 52.69% (

-0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.92% (

-0.48)

52.08% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.19% (

-0.42)

73.8% (

0.42)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.68% (

-0.08)

26.32% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.55% (

-0.1)

61.45% (

0.1)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.51% (

-0.46)

28.49% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.73% (

-0.59)

64.26% (

0.58)

Score Analysis

Inter Miami 38.64%

Minnesota United 34.93%

Draw 26.42%

Inter Miami	Draw	Minnesota United
1-0 @ 10% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.64%	1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.42%	0-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.93%