Momentum would suggest that Inter Miami should win this one. However, we are going with the Five Stripes because of their solid play at home, combined with how passive the Herons have been on the road. Josef Martinez looked good returning from injury in their previous encounter, and if he is healthy, that is a big part of their offence, which should lift their spirits tremendously. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 63.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 15.72%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atlanta United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atlanta United.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	Inter Miami
63.22% ( 0.36)	21.06% ( -0.11)	15.72% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 49.7% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.75% (

0.03)

46.24% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.46% (

0.03)

68.54% (

-0.03)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.02% (

0.12)

13.98% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.51% (

0.24)

41.49% (

-0.24)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.78% (

-0.31)

42.22% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.37% (

-0.27)

78.63% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 63.21%

Inter Miami 15.72%

Draw 21.05%

Atlanta United	Draw	Inter Miami
1-0 @ 11.61% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 63.21%	1-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.05%	0-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.66% Total : 15.72%