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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 44
Oct 30, 2021 at 6.30pm UK
New Fort Lauderdale Stadium
NY

Inter Miami
1 - 3
NY City

Figal (56')
Shea (29'), Gregore (45+4'), Gonzalez Pirez (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Castellanos (33', 60'), Magno (83')
Callens (52'), Medina (57'), Deila (76')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 47.34%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawNew York City FC
28.52%24.13%47.34%
Both teams to score 57.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.54%44.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.17%66.83%
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.08%28.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.2%64.8%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.09%18.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.59%50.41%
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 28.52%
    New York City FC 47.34%
    Draw 24.14%
Inter MiamiDrawNew York City FC
2-1 @ 7.01%
1-0 @ 6.79%
2-0 @ 4.21%
3-1 @ 2.9%
3-2 @ 2.41%
3-0 @ 1.74%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 28.52%
1-1 @ 11.3%
2-2 @ 5.84%
0-0 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.14%
1-2 @ 9.41%
0-1 @ 9.11%
0-2 @ 7.59%
1-3 @ 5.22%
0-3 @ 4.21%
2-3 @ 3.24%
1-4 @ 2.18%
0-4 @ 1.75%
2-4 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 47.34%

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