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NY
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 40
Oct 17, 2021 at 6pm UK
Red Bull Arena
NY

NY Red Bulls
1 - 0
NY City

Casseres Jr (3')
Nealis (16'), Davis (21')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Chanot (34'), Amundsen (82')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawNew York City FC
34.87%27.93%37.2%
Both teams to score 47.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.97%58.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.29%78.71%
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.53%31.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.14%67.86%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.99%30.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.87%66.14%
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 34.87%
    New York City FC 37.19%
    Draw 27.93%
New York Red BullsDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 10.92%
2-1 @ 7.6%
2-0 @ 6.31%
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.43%
3-2 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 34.87%
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 9.45%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.93%
0-1 @ 11.36%
1-2 @ 7.91%
0-2 @ 6.84%
1-3 @ 3.17%
0-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 1.83%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 37.19%

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