Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.