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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 10
May 30, 2021 at 12am UK
The Home Depot Center
SJ

LA Galaxy
1 - 0
Earthquakes

Beason (70' og.)
dos Santos (43'), Araujo (49'), Kljestan (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Judson (29')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 50.91%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.84%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
50.91%21.89%27.21%
Both teams to score 64.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.21%34.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.24%56.76%
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86%14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.47%41.53%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.15%24.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.54%59.46%
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 50.91%
    San Jose Earthquakes 27.21%
    Draw 21.89%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.36%
1-0 @ 6.84%
2-0 @ 6.73%
3-1 @ 6.14%
3-0 @ 4.41%
3-2 @ 4.27%
4-1 @ 3.02%
4-0 @ 2.17%
4-2 @ 2.1%
5-1 @ 1.19%
4-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 50.91%
1-1 @ 9.53%
2-2 @ 6.52%
0-0 @ 3.48%
3-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.89%
1-2 @ 6.63%
0-1 @ 4.85%
0-2 @ 3.37%
1-3 @ 3.08%
2-3 @ 3.02%
0-3 @ 1.57%
1-4 @ 1.07%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 27.21%

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