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Thursday, March 28
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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 8
May 22, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Jeld-Wen Field
LG

Portland
3 - 0
LA Galaxy

Mora (47', 60'), Valeri (69' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

Williams (44')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 52.5%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 24.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
52.5%22.81%24.68%
Both teams to score 58.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.5%41.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.1%63.89%
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.14%15.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.94%45.05%
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74%30.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.57%66.43%
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 52.5%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 24.68%
    Draw 22.81%
Portland TimbersDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.73%
1-0 @ 8.84%
2-0 @ 8.14%
3-1 @ 5.97%
3-0 @ 5%
3-2 @ 3.57%
4-1 @ 2.75%
4-0 @ 2.3%
4-2 @ 1.64%
5-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 52.5%
1-1 @ 10.56%
2-2 @ 5.81%
0-0 @ 4.8%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.81%
1-2 @ 6.31%
0-1 @ 5.73%
0-2 @ 3.43%
1-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 24.68%

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Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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