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LA
Major League Soccer
May 28, 2022 at 11pm UK
Banc of California Stadium
SJ
Los Angeles
3 - 2
Earthquakes
Arango (8' pen.), Hollingshead (13'), Rodriguez (47')
Rodriguez (19'), Musovski (76'), Acosta (77'), Crisostomo (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Ebobisse (16', 31')
Espinoza (17')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 Earthquakes
Saturday, May 28 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Seattle vs. Los Angeles
Saturday, June 18 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 Earthquakes
Saturday, May 28 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Nashville vs. Earthquakes
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes

A recent blip in form will worry Los Angeles, and yet another derby defeat will certainly sting, but the benefit of home advantage and their opponents' leaky defence should help them secure maximum points on Saturday. Able to produce goals from a variety of sources, the hosts should score more than once and reaffirm their grip on first place in the standings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 66.33%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 14.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
66.33% (-0.631 -0.63) 18.88% (0.411 0.41) 14.79% (0.222 0.22)
Both teams to score 54.89% (-0.943 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.75% (-1.493 -1.49)38.25% (1.494 1.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.47% (-1.605 -1.61)60.53% (1.606 1.61)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.28% (-0.575 -0.58)10.72% (0.576 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.35% (-1.298 -1.3)34.65% (1.299 1.3)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.48% (-0.654 -0.65)38.51% (0.65600000000001 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (-0.63 -0.63)75.26% (0.63199999999999 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 66.32%
    San Jose Earthquakes 14.79%
    Draw 18.88%
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-0 @ 10.29% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
1-0 @ 9.22% (0.431 0.43)
3-0 @ 7.66% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.31% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-0 @ 4.28% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-1 @ 4.08% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.95% (-0.122 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.91% (-0.097 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.82% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 66.32%
1-1 @ 8.8% (0.26 0.26)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.13% (0.288 0.29)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.88%
1-2 @ 4.2% (0.051 0.05)
0-1 @ 3.94% (0.208 0.21)
0-2 @ 1.88% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 14.79%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-2 Los Angeles
Saturday, May 21 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 1-2 Austin
Thursday, May 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 2-0 Los Angeles
Saturday, May 14 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 8 at 4am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 2-0 Minnesota Utd
Monday, May 2 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-2 Los Angeles
Sunday, April 24 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Kansas
Monday, May 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 3-2 Portland
Thursday, May 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 3-3 Earthquakes
Sunday, May 15 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-0 Colorado
Sunday, May 8 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 3-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, May 1 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 4-3 Seattle
Sunday, April 24 at 3am in Major League Soccer

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