Major League Soccer

May 19, 2022 at 3.30am UK

Banc of California Stadium

Los Angeles
1 - 2
Austin

Vela (86' pen.)
Acosta (39'), Cifuentes (39'), Murillo (63')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gabrielsen (13'), Fagundez (80')
Valencia (37'), Wolff (50'), Stuver (85'), Driussi (89'), Keller (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Los Angeles FC 2-0 Austin FC

The Austin style is well-suited to the way Cherundolo and his team like to play, so we expect an excellent bounce-back performance from LA, who have been lethal on the counter at Banc of California Stadium, scoring 21 times at home this year in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 63.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 16.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Los Angeles FC	Draw	Austin FC
63.14% ( 1.86)	20.09% ( -0.46)	16.77% ( -1.4)

Both teams to score 55.35% (

-1.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.07% (

-0.36)

39.93% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.7% (

-0.37)

62.29% (

0.37)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.95% (

0.41)

12.05% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.45% (

0.86)

37.55% (

-0.86)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.93% (

-1.82)

37.06% (

1.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.15% (

-1.85)

73.85% (

1.85)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles FC 63.14%

Austin FC 16.77%

Draw 20.09%

Los Angeles FC	Draw	Austin FC
2-0 @ 10% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.3) 3-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 7% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.29) 4-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.15) 5-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.81% Total : 63.14%	1-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.09%	1-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.32) 0-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.31% Total : 16.77%