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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 35
Sep 26, 2021 at 3am UK
Buck Shaw Stadium
LA

Earthquakes
2 - 0
Los Angeles

Kikanovic (3'), Lopez (47')
Cardoso (31'), Espinoza (34'), Abecasis (64'), Lopez (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Crisostomo (39'), Cifuentes (75'), Edwards (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.39%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawLos Angeles FC
33.32%23.61%43.06%
Both teams to score 62.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.29%39.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.94%62.06%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.46%23.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.42%57.58%
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.22%18.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.81%50.18%
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 33.32%
    Los Angeles FC 43.06%
    Draw 23.61%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawLos Angeles FC
2-1 @ 7.74%
1-0 @ 6.39%
2-0 @ 4.63%
3-1 @ 3.73%
3-2 @ 3.12%
3-0 @ 2.23%
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 33.32%
1-1 @ 10.69%
2-2 @ 6.47%
0-0 @ 4.42%
3-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 8.94%
0-1 @ 7.39%
0-2 @ 6.18%
1-3 @ 4.99%
2-3 @ 3.61%
0-3 @ 3.45%
1-4 @ 2.08%
2-4 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 43.06%

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