Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 65.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 13.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.69%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.