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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 33
Sep 19, 2021 at 2.30am UK
Robertson Stadium
FD

Houston
3 - 2
Dallas

Dorsey (5'), Picault (20'), Quintero (59' pen.)
Valentin (40')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Obrian (86', 90+4')
Schon (90+6')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 49.21%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawDallas
49.21%24.15%26.64%
Both teams to score 56.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.17%45.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.86%68.14%
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.3%18.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.95%50.04%
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.98%31.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.66%67.33%
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 49.21%
    Dallas 26.64%
    Draw 24.15%
Houston DynamoDrawDallas
1-0 @ 9.73%
2-1 @ 9.55%
2-0 @ 8.16%
3-1 @ 5.34%
3-0 @ 4.56%
3-2 @ 3.12%
4-1 @ 2.24%
4-0 @ 1.91%
4-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 49.21%
1-1 @ 11.38%
0-0 @ 5.8%
2-2 @ 5.59%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.15%
0-1 @ 6.79%
1-2 @ 6.66%
0-2 @ 3.97%
1-3 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 2.18%
0-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 26.64%

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