Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 49.21%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.