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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 20
Jul 31, 2021 at 1am UK
Florida Citrus Bowl
AU

Orlando City
3 - 2
Atlanta

Smith (43'), van der Water (79'), Nani (87')
Perea (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Martinez (1'), Moreno (66')
Franco (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawAtlanta United
40.61%25.54%33.85%
Both teams to score 55.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.49%48.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.37%70.63%
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.34%23.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.24%57.76%
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.58%27.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.1%62.9%
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 40.61%
    Atlanta United 33.85%
    Draw 25.54%
Orlando CityDrawAtlanta United
1-0 @ 9.35%
2-1 @ 8.72%
2-0 @ 6.74%
3-1 @ 4.19%
3-0 @ 3.24%
3-2 @ 2.71%
4-1 @ 1.51%
4-0 @ 1.17%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2%
Total : 40.61%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 6.49%
2-2 @ 5.64%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 8.39%
1-2 @ 7.83%
0-2 @ 5.43%
1-3 @ 3.38%
2-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 2.34%
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 33.85%

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