Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
