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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 16
Jul 8, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Saputo Stadium
NY

Montreal
2 - 1
NY City

Toye (43' pen.), Quioto (73')
Brault-Guillard (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Parks (29')
Moralez (60'), Ibeagha (70'), Morales (77'), Castellanos (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
CF MontrealDrawNew York City FC
29.21%24.22%46.57%
Both teams to score 57.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.57%44.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.2%66.8%
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.57%28.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.81%64.19%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.78%19.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.09%50.91%
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 29.21%
    New York City FC 46.57%
    Draw 24.22%
CF MontrealDrawNew York City FC
2-1 @ 7.13%
1-0 @ 6.87%
2-0 @ 4.32%
3-1 @ 2.99%
3-2 @ 2.46%
3-0 @ 1.81%
4-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 29.21%
1-1 @ 11.33%
2-2 @ 5.88%
0-0 @ 5.46%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.22%
1-2 @ 9.35%
0-1 @ 9.01%
0-2 @ 7.43%
1-3 @ 5.14%
0-3 @ 4.09%
2-3 @ 3.23%
1-4 @ 2.12%
0-4 @ 1.69%
2-4 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 46.57%

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