Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
