Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 53.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 23.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Toronto in this match.