Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.
