Even when they are not at their best, the footballing gods seem to smile down on Nashville SC when playing at home, and we do not anticipate their rock-solid defence will have any trouble contending with a side in Kansas City who have been depleted both mentally and physically. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 58.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 18.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Nashville SC	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
58.04% ( -0.49)	23.18% ( 0.26)	18.78% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 49.18% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.91% (

-0.72)

50.09% (

0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.94% (

-0.64)

72.05% (

0.64)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.01% (

-0.43)

16.98% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.9% (

-0.76)

47.09% (

0.76)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.25% (

-0.16)

40.75% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.66% (

-0.15)

77.33% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Nashville SC 58.03%

Sporting Kansas City 18.78%

Draw 23.17%

Nashville SC	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
1-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.87% Total : 58.03%	1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.17%	0-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.05% Total : 18.78%