SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | DC United | 13 | -7 | 14 |
| 9 | Sporting Kansas City | 15 | -9 | 13 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 14 | -7 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | New England Revolution | 13 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Toronto | 14 | -6 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for New England Revolution in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | New England Revolution |
46.48% ( 0.04) | 24.5% ( -0.15) | 29.01% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 56.74% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.21% ( 0.72) | 45.79% ( -0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.89% ( 0.68) | 68.11% ( -0.68) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.2% ( 0.31) | 19.8% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.14% ( 0.5) | 51.86% ( -0.5) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.74% ( 0.45) | 29.25% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.79% ( 0.55) | 65.21% ( -0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.97% Total : 46.48% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.39% Total : 29.02% |
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