Major League Soccer

May 19, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Nissan Stadium

Nashville
2 - 1
Montreal

Muyl (28'), Williams (52')
Williams (41'), Muyl (43')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kamara (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Nashville SC 1-1 CF Montreal

These teams have similar approaches, as they rely on a solid backline and some outstanding individual quality in attacking midfield. There is something about playing at home that seems to give Nashville a psychological edge and earn results even when playing poorly, and we expect a close match between two strong squads with talent across the board. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 48.97%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SC	Draw	CF Montreal
48.97% ( -1.5)	25.34% ( 0.7)	25.69% ( 0.8)

Both teams to score 51.43% (

-1.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.45% (

-2.22)

51.55% (

2.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.65% (

-1.96)

73.35% (

1.96)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.93% (

-1.51)

21.07% (

1.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.12% (

-2.41)

53.88% (

2.41)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.15% (

-0.52)

34.85% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.42% (

-0.56)

71.58% (

0.55)

Score Analysis

Nashville SC 48.96%

CF Montreal 25.69%

Draw 25.34%

Nashville SC	Draw	CF Montreal
1-0 @ 11.43% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.33) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.22) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.48% Total : 48.96%	1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.63) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.34%	0-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.11% Total : 25.69%