SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
| 5 | Nashville SC | 14 | 2 | 22 |
| 6 | Minnesota United | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Orlando City | 14 | -3 | 21 |
| 6 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | Atlanta United |
43.37% ( 1.56) | 25.27% ( -0.21) | 31.37% ( -1.35) |
| Both teams to score 55.47% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.96% ( 0.48) | 48.04% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.79% ( 0.44) | 70.21% ( -0.44) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.88% ( 0.95) | 22.12% ( -0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.51% ( 1.42) | 55.49% ( -1.42) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.22% ( -0.64) | 28.78% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.37% ( -0.8) | 64.63% ( 0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 1-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.21)3-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.33% Total : 43.37% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.28)1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.37% |
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