They have the joint-worst record in MLS, but Vancouver have looked a lot better in recent matches and could be due for a break. Kansas City have struggled with consistency all season, and have not looked nearly as dangerous in the final third as a season ago, so we expect the Caps to end their road woes this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 60.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 16.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
60.72% ( -1.5)	22.45% ( 0.63)	16.83% ( 0.86)

Both teams to score 47.76% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.9% (

-1.13)

50.1% (

1.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.93% (

-1.01)

72.07% (

1.01)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.93% (

-0.88)

16.06% (

0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.56% (

-1.63)

45.44% (

1.62)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.9% (

0.44)

43.1% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.62% (

0.37)

79.37% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

Sporting Kansas City 60.71%

Vancouver Whitecaps 16.83%

Draw 22.45%

Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
1-0 @ 12.66% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.99% Total : 60.71%	1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.77% Total : 22.45%	0-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.66% Total : 16.83%