Major League Soccer

Jun 19, 2022 at 10pm UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
1 - 1
Colorado

Magno (72')
Castellanos (68'), Morales (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Barrios (68')
Price (30'), Abubakar (56'), Acosta (73'), Wilson (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Colorado Rapids, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: New York City FC 1-0 Colorado Rapids

When arguably the most prolific striker in the league (Valentin Castellanos) is without a goal in three matches in all competitions, and you can still win comfortably, you understand why NYCFC are solid favourites to retain their title. Colorado are a better team than their record currently indicates, but New York simply have too much quality for them to handle, and they can win by scoring their share of goals or playing a sound defensive game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 66.79%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 14.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Colorado Rapids
66.79% ( -0.04)	19% ( -0)	14.21% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 52.87% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.88% (

0.15)

40.12% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.51% (

0.16)

62.49% (

-0.15)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.87% (

0.03)

11.12% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.44% (

0.07)

35.55% (

-0.07)

Colorado Rapids Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.49% (

0.17)

40.5% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.89% (

0.15)

77.11% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 66.79%

Colorado Rapids 14.21%

Draw 19%

New York City FC	Draw	Colorado Rapids
2-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.92% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.08% Total : 66.79%	1-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 19%	0-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.84% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.7% Total : 14.21%