Colorado have drawn three of their last five matches, while Portland have accumulated more MLS draws than any other side this season, and we think that pattern will continue on Saturday night with the two teams cancelling each other out.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 58.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.
