Major League Soccer

May 19, 2022 at 12.30am UK

RFK Stadium

DC United
0 - 2
NY City

Romo (19')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Callens (6'), Castellanos (45+5' pen.)
Rodriguez (36'), Castellanos (64'), Zelalem (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: DC United 1-2 New York City FC

The hosts will be on a relative high following their comeback last time out, but we do not see them matching the strong visiting outfit who come into the game in a hot streak of form. Deila's side have plenty of quality in their ranks, and we see them outclassing the Black-and-Red largely thanks to their formidable attacking lineup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 46%. A win for DC United had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
DC United	Draw	New York City FC
30.47% ( 2.54)	23.53% ( 0.31)	46% ( -2.84)

Both teams to score 61.04% (

0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.47% (

0.12)

40.53% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.09% (

0.12)

62.91% (

-0.12)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.36% (

1.74)

25.64% (

-1.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.46% (

2.31)

60.54% (

-2.31)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.09% (

-1.05)

17.9% (

1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.3% (

-1.83)

48.7% (

1.83)

Score Analysis

DC United 30.47%

New York City FC 46%

Draw 23.52%

DC United	Draw	New York City FC
2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.42) 1-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.34) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.46% Total : 30.47%	1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.52%	1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.52) 1-3 @ 5.3% ( -0.32) 0-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.45) 2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.22) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.26) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.76% Total : 46%